Tuesday, 28 April 2009

Buckler Barrier Law

I have an interesting theory. I call it the "Buckler Barrier".

Moore's Law states "that the number of transistors on a chip will double about every two years"
Gilder’s Law states "the total bandwidth of communication systems triples every 12 months"
Metcalfe’s Law states "as a network grows, the value of being connected to it grows exponentially, while the cost per user remains the same or even reduces"
Source; http://www.jimpinto.com/writings/3laws.html

These laws are the basis for another rule of thumb. Technology is getting cheaper, smaller and faster by an increasing pace. So if technology gets so cheap it becomes free, and so small it can't be seen and so ridiculously fast it becomes instant, then surely the Laws above are flawed. Perhaps not ?

Technology is already FREE; in fact companies give away hardware for Free and make back the costs via subscription. This is an increasing trend. So for Metcalfe’s Law to remain, you will actually need to get paid cash as an incentive to adopt technologies? Companies will make back costs with advertising revenues and subscription.


Technology is already FAST; in fact how do you beat technology that delivers responses instant? I know Intel have created Photonics, which is a way of harnessing light for processing instead of current.

Well the answer is predictive technology using AI. Systems learning your lifestyle may mean that when you go to reach for the remote your TV will prompt you to switch to the exact video stream or source you were thinking about switching to as easy as T9 on a mobile helps you txt. Speed will then become about how fast a system accurately predicts your thoughts rather than responding to your instructions. Scary stuff.

Technology is already SMALL; in fact, how do you beat mobiles that you can inject into your ear, or plasma screens that are only 6.5mm. Well the answer is surface technology using Nanotechnology. By playing around with natures mechanics you are able to develop hardware at molecular levels. In Microsoft Future Vision Video 2019 you can see surfaces become our new interface(i.e - tables & walls). Going a step further, you may see a nanotechnology deployed into materials giving it other new properties and benefits. So wood can be modified with nanotechnology to act as a touch screen display when pressure is applied.

So my theory is called the "Buckler Barrier". I believe we will hit a barrier with the above Laws then it will be broken through and take us into a new world of possibilities. I aim to develop my technologies and bring to market the tools to equip the human race for getting through this barrier. A lot of readers won't get their head around this concept. But as much as I believe the possibilities of the Matrix actually happening (AI is powerful stuff) I'm very sane and educated and I'm sure this theory is shared by millions around the world in the technology industry.

Moore to come. Hit me back if you're feeling my wavelength ? If I am totally crazy let me know I’ll pack in the blogging and go retire in the Spanish hills where there’s no electricity.

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